United Nations Climate Change Conference Cancun – COP16 and CMP6
The United Nations Climate Change Conference to be held in Cancun, Mexico, from 29 November to 10 December 2010, encompasses the sixteenth Conference of the Parties (COP) and the sixth Conference of the Parties serving as the Meeting of the Parties to the Kyoto Protocol (CMP), as well as the thirty-third sessions of both the Subsidiary Body for Implementation (SBI) and the Subsidiary Body for Scientific and Technological Advice (SBSTA), and the fifteenth session of the AWG-KP and thirteenth session of the AWG-LCA.
It is here, the sixteenth Conference of the Parties, or COP16. Over the next two weeks, delegates from 194 will try to make progress towards change for the better, to improve mitigation of and adaptation to climate change. Although it is not expected that negotiations in Cancun – and after meetings in Bonn, Germany, in June and August, and Tianjin, China, in October this year – will result in a legally binding successor treaty to the Kyoto Protocol, hopes are high that delegates will overcome their current and past negotiating positions and start mapping processes to finalise and agree on important decisions, and decide the eventual legal form of an international agreement. Here is what the UNFCCC Executive Secretary Christiana Figueres has to say:
If you are new to climate change negotiations, the UNFCCC provides a useful glossary of commonly used terminology.
Here is a quick reminder where things currently stand:
- The Conference of the Parties, at its fifteenth session (in Copenhagen, Denmark), took note of the Copenhagen Accord of 18 December 2009 by way of decision 2/CP.15.
- The Copenhagen Accord
- emphasises a strong political will to urgently combat climate change in accordance with the principle of common but differentiated responsibilities and respective capabilities, recognises the scientific view that the increase in global temperature should be below 2 degrees Celsius;
- states that enhanced action and international cooperation on adaptation is urgently required to reduce vulnerability and build resilience in developing countries;
- about mitigation agrees that developed countries (Annex I Parties) would commit to economy-wide emissions targets for 2020;
- agrees that developing nations (non-Annex I Parties) would implement mitigation actionsto slow growth in their carbon emissions;
- recognises the crucial role of reducing emission from deforestation and forest degradation and the need to enhance removals of greenhouse gas emission by forests, and the need to establish a mechanism (including REDD+) to enable the mobilisation of financial resources from developed countries to help achieve this;
- agrees that developed countries would raise funds of $30 billion from 2010-2012 of new and additional resources;
- agrees a “goal” for the world to raise $100 billion per year by 2020, from “a wide variety of sources”, to help developing countries with mitigation efforts;
- establishes a Copenhagen Green Climate Fund, as an operating entity of the financial mechanism, to support projects, programme, policies and other activities in developing countries related to mitigation; and
- establishes a Technology Mechanism to accelerate technology development and transfer, guided by a country-driven approach.
- The total number of Parties that have expressed their intention to be listed as agreeing to the Copenhagen Accord is 140;
- Australia will reduce its greenhouse gas emissions by 25% on 2000 levels by 2020 if the world agrees to an ambitious global deal capable of stabilising levels of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere at 450 ppm CO2-e or lower. Australia will unconditionally reduce our emissions by 5% below 2000 levels by 2020, and by up to 15% by 2020 if there is a global agreement which falls short of securing atmospheric stabilisation at 450 ppm CO2-e and under which major developing economies commit to substantially restrain emissions and advanced economies take on commitments comparable to Australia’s;
- As part of a global and comprehensive agreement for the period beyond 2012, the EU reiterates its conditional offer to move to a 30% reduction by 2020 compared to 1990 levels, provided that other developed countries commit themselves to comparable emission reductions and that developing countries contribute adequately according to their responsibilities and respective capabilities;
- Russian Federation: the range of the GHG emission reductions (15-25%) will depend on the following conditions: Appropriate accounting of the potential of Russia’s forestry in frame of contribution in meeting the obligations of the anthropogenic emissions reduction; Undertaking by all major emitters the legally binding obligations to reduce anthropogenic GHG emissions;
- In the range of 17%, in conformity with anticipated U.S. energy and climate legislation, recognising that the final target will be reported to the Secretariat in light of enacted legislation. The pathway set forth in pending legislation would entail a 30% reduction in 2025 and a 42% reduction in 2030, in line with the goal to reduce emissions 83% by 2050;
- China will endeavor to lower its carbon dioxide emissions per unit of GDP by 40-45% by 2020 compared to the 2005 level, increase the share of non-fossil fuels in primary energy consumption to around 15% by 2020 and increase forest coverage by 40 million hectares and forest stock volume by 1.3 billion cubic meters by 2020 from the 2005 levels; and
- India will endeavour to reduce the emissions1 intensity of its GDP by 20-25% by 2020 in comparison to the 2005 level.
So, what is left to do? Despite the progress made over the last year, negotiators are still to detail and finalise
- a technology mechanism that will help countries develop and share new technologies;
- an adaptation framework;
- a REDD+ mechanism;
- a finance mechanism/fund;
- a common metrics for accounting of developed country emissions targets for pledges made under the Copenhagen Accord;
- a measurement, reporting and verification (MRV) process for developing country actions;
- pledges under the Copenhagen Accord, provide an opportunity for countries to strengthen the pledges, and decide that a robust scientific review should occur no later than 2015; and
- what to do with the second commitment period of the Kyoto Protocol.
We will see how the next two weeks pan out. We will provide regular updates on the negotiations in Cancun.


